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2024-12-13 12:06:01

Guotai Junan expects Hong Kong stocks to fluctuate upward in an N-shaped pattern next year to explore domestic demand and improve investment opportunities. Chen Ximiao, chief analyst of Guotai Junan's overseas strategy, said that looking forward to 2025, the disturbance factors in the Hong Kong stock market from the external environment will continue, and the pace of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve under overseas inflation, policy restrictions in areas such as strong US dollar and tariffs, and game friction among big countries will continue. However, the domestic policy thinking is clear, economic expectations are expected to stabilize under the financial impetus, and the profitability of molecular enterprises will improve, and the industrial chain will be able to cope with it. She said that in 2025, the sensitivity of the Hong Kong stock market to external shocks is expected to decline, and more attention should be paid to returning to its own logic. For the trend of Hong Kong stocks in 2025, it is expected to be dominated by the upward pattern of N-shaped shocks, and there are many opportunities for flexibility during the stage. In 2025, we should still actively look for the structure, and focus on the barbell strategy to shift the weight of the two ends. We need to pay more attention to the configuration rhythm and pay attention to the repair opportunities of some domestic products.The Syrian opposition and Kurdish armed forces reached a ceasefire agreement in northern Syria. The reporter was informed that in the early morning of 11th local time, Mazlum Abdi, commander of the Syrian Kurdish armed forces "Syrian Democratic Army" supported by the United States, said that under the mediation of the United States, "Syrian Democratic Army" had reached a ceasefire agreement with the Turkish-supported Syrian opposition armed forces "Syrian National Army" in Mambiji, northern Syria. The "Syrian National Army" has not confirmed this news. The "Syrian National Army" supported by Turkey has launched an offensive in Mambiji near the Turkish border in northern Syria in recent days. According to Turkish media reports, the Syrian National Army took control of Manbiji on the 9th. (CCTV News)Li Pengxin, the former deputy secretary of the Party Committee of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, was prosecuted. It was learned from the Supreme People's Procuratorate today (11th) that the case of Li Pengxin, the former deputy secretary of the Party Committee of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, was investigated by the National Supervisory Commission (NSC), and was appointed by the Supreme People's Procuratorate to be examined and prosecuted by the People's Procuratorate of Baoji City, Shaanxi Province. Recently, the Baoji Municipal People's Procuratorate has filed a public prosecution with the Baoji Intermediate People's Court. (CCTV News)


Foreign media explosion: Biden's government is considering imposing new sanctions on Russian oil trade before Trump takes office, and the details have yet to be finalized. Bloomberg reported on the 10th local time that Biden's government is considering imposing new and stricter sanctions on Russian oil trade, trying to further increase pressure on Russia before Trump, the US president-elect, returns to the White House. The report quoted people who are familiar with the situation but do not want to be named as saying that the details of possible new measures are still being worked out, but Biden's team is considering imposing restrictions on some Russian oil exports. (World Wide Web)Adani Port Company withdrew its loan request of US$ 553 million from the United States. On December 10th, local time, Adani Port Company stated that it would provide funds for its Colombo Port Terminal Project through internal accrual project and capital management plan, and withdrew its request for funds from DFC. DFC said last year that it would provide $553 million in financing for the port terminal project, which is partly owned by Adani Group. Last month, gautam Adani, the chairman of Adani Group, and seven other men were charged in the federal court in new york on suspicion of large-scale bribery and fraudulent schemes.Will the air ticket price in the United States rise in November? Goldman Sachs and Bank of America have their own opinions. Due to the rising cost of housing, insurance and medical services, the core inflation rate in the United States has remained high. Second-hand car prices may rise due to the rebound of auction prices, but economists are still divided on whether the increase in air ticket prices will become a reality. Goldman Sachs predicts that air ticket prices will increase by 1% month-on-month, reflecting a strong potential pricing trend. Bank of America, on the other hand, said, "We expect the air ticket price to drop by 1% month-on-month, which will change the contribution rate of core inflation from +3 basis points to -1 basis point. Due to the decline in air ticket prices, the monthly core inflation rate will drop to 0.2%, but the volatility of this category is still very large. "


The semiconductor concept oscillated higher and Broadcom integrated daily limit, and the semiconductor concept oscillated higher and Broadcom integrated daily limit. Hengxuan Technology, Purran, Shanghai Beiling, Tailingwei and Dongxin shares rose more than 5%.The Taiwan Affairs Office of the State Council refuted the MAC's measures to smear Fujian's cross-strait integration and benefit Taiwan. Zhu Fenglian, spokesman of the Taiwan Affairs Office, said: Our policy measures to support Fujian's construction of a demonstration zone for cross-strait integration and development are to provide the greatest convenience, the best conditions and the strongest guarantee for Taiwan compatriots to study, work and live in Fujian, which fully demonstrates our goodwill for the benefit of compatriots on both sides of the strait and our sincerity in promoting the peaceful development and integration of cross-strait relations, and have been widely praised by compatriots on both sides of the strait. The Democratic Progressive Party authorities have smeared this and tried to prevent Taiwan compatriots and enterprises from participating in the construction of a demonstration zone for cross-strait integration and development, which is entirely due to the "Taiwan independence" nature.On December 10th, local time, US Secretary of State Blinken talked with Egyptian Foreign Minister Abdul Ati, Qatari Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Mohammed, UAE Foreign Minister Abdullah and Jordanian Foreign Minister Assafadi respectively, focusing on the situation in Syria. In addition, Blinken and other leaders also discussed the implementation of the ceasefire agreement between Israel and Lebanon.

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